It’s Over. Time to Swear In President (Hillary) Clinton, Right?

31

June 15, 2016 by gregrabidoux2013

isis trump

Where did everybody go? With that Mexican Judge? Maybe with Pocahontas? It’s lonely now.

There were 17. And then there was but One. The Donald.

But that was only on the GOP side of the equation.

And really, that’s the problem for Donald Trump, the (still) presumptive nominee of the Republican Party, the so-called “elite” GOP leaders who continue to condemn Trump (think Lindsey Graham, Paul Ryan, Mitt Romney, and even Bernie “Feel the Bern” Sanders.

Hint: The race is now moving into the endgame phase.

Securing the GOP nomination, being an anti-establishment, firebrand billionaire, the Donald “who won’t take guff from no one” Trump still has a ways, a long ways, to go to until he can let Melania “I have many ideas” Trump re-design and re-brand the White House under the Trump name.

hillary president melania

I have many ideas to re-brand the White House. Slovenia Vapid I call it.

For all the talk, and man, there was a ton of media talk, about a contested or brokered convention and how this would all but doom the GOP chances in the general election the fact is that is not happening and probably never was gonna happen.

But that is the least of the GOP problems right now. Simply put, their guy is the problem. He sewed up his party’s nomination even before Hillary did (who saw that coming, be honest) and suddenly it looked like there could be a real contested (in an electoral sort of way) general election.

But since Ted “Lyin’ Cruz and John “he never wins” Kasich both went down the Indiana primary drain it’s as if the bully (that’d be Trump) has no one to push around. No one to really pick on. And it shows.

donald-trump smirk

What was it my Pocahontas comment? My gay jokes, too soon after Orlando?

He has run his post-Indiana primary victory euphoria right smack dab into the ground. It’s so bad right now that at a time when his party should be rallying around him and targeting the enemy (Hillary, gasp, a Clinton for crying out loud) they are joining Hillary’s criticism against Trump.

Criticism against what you may ask?

Let’s see. GOP leaders are piling on Trump for his racist comments against a New Mexico judge, his calling (again) for a ban on all Muslims entering the country, his self-congratulatory comments in the wake of the Orlando massacre and for his implying that President Obama is at least partially to blame for the Orlando killings.

Not since Barry “In your heart you know he’s right” Goldwater has the GOP been working this hard to utterly distance themselves and flee from the candidate, their candidate, who will supposedly be carrying the GOP torch this November.

hillary president BG

And I’m the one that lost big?? Geez. Now that’s just un-American.

Trump has promised to “open up the vault” against Hillary but so far the electoral needle has simply not moved much. Bernie and the Berners seemingly are making nice with Hillary as Obama plays party mediator and now Hillary-endorser and Trump just sort of flails away at the air.

The latest Gallup poll shows Hillary with a 12 point lead as of June 15th.

Is this historically bad for Trump?

Not necessarily. But it sure ain’t good.

In June of 1964, Democrat Lyndon Johnson was polling at an astounding 77% to 18% over his GOP rival Barry Goldwater and went on to win in the general election 61-38%.

But the bad news for the Trumpster is that the candidate who has lead by at least double-digits in June has gone on to win the general election nearly every time.

The exceptions?

The infamously flawed polling of 1948 which had Thomas Dewey (R) ahead of Harry Truman 49-38% and then he wound up losing to Truman by a close 49% to 45%.

More bad news?

The more modern exception was when Bill Clinton (yep, those same Clintons) was polling 10 points behind George H. W. Bush in June of 1992 (22-32%) and came back to win on election day by a margin of 43-37%.

So, is it over? Should we just move on to the swearing-in of Hillary “I can’t believe it’s really happening” Clinton and be done with it?

Hillary president

I really am Lisa Simpson, aren’t I?

Well, maybe not quite that fast.

Hillary does come with almost (more?) baggage than her opponent and there are those pesky, lingering, quite possibly illegal e-mails swirling about her well-coifed head.

But with the Democrats now looking very un-democratic-party in their apparent new-found unity and sense of purpose and the GOP looking more and more like the frenetic, unfocused days of 1964 and Goldwater, Donald “in his heart you aren’t sure he’s right” Trump may well be facing one of the most lopsided presidential defeats in modern history, since, well, 1964.

He was more entertaining when he had about 16 other wanna-be presidents to pick on wasn’t he?

Usually, around late August to early September Americans take a more somber and serious look at who they want to lead this country.

And while Hillary doesn’t excite like Bernie (at least to those impressionable millennials!) nor captivate crowds like hubby Bill did, nor make us feel proud like Ronnie did, she is, what’s the word I am looking for…oh, yes, safe.

As in a safe choice. Certainly safer than the often unhinged Donald Trump.

He is polling historically low in how unfavorable women, African-Americans, Latinos, Asian-Americans and the LGBTQ community feel about him and his presidential aspirations.

Perhaps the most damning number is the 55% of those randomly polled of adults most likely to vote (regardless of party) say they could NEVER see themselves voting for Mr. Trump.

Do you see how the pie of potential votes he needs to slide into the Oval Office is shrinking rapidly?

down is up jeb

And I’m the one who was unelectable? Who couldn’t beat Hillary? Am I really Ned Flanders?

So, could he turn a June double-digit deficit into a tight victory come November?

Possibly. But the numbers say No.

And come November there is a really good chance so will the electorate.

…Do you, Hillary Rodham Clinton solemnly swear…”Yes, yes, get on with it…I’ve been practicing my Inaugural Address longer than Bill’s been chasing skirts, I mean votes…unless of course that statement polls unfavorably in which case I can change. That’s one thing you can always count on.”

Somewhere Barry Goldwater is smiling. He may not hold the record for largest deficit loss much longer.

donald trump anderson c

Stinky. Kelly Ripa deserved better. Isn’t that what we are talking about here?

down is up megyn kelly

Dear Lord. Just pick Hannity for your VP and be done with it.

splendora palin

I am gonna be the VP, you betcha!

bengal-tiger-why-matter_7341043

On a more positive note, How ’bout those Cubbies?

 

 

 

 

 

 

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31 thoughts on “It’s Over. Time to Swear In President (Hillary) Clinton, Right?

  1. Ashley K. says:

    I’m really not sure if this post made me feel better or worse about the upcoming election. I thought I’d get over the “wait…could this really happen?” feeling whenever I think about a Trump vs. Clinton election but nope, it still seems too strange to be a real possibility. It does surprise me that Clinton is polling so far ahead of Trump–I hadn’t heard that yet and I really didn’t expect it. It seems that you’re correct that the theatrics of a large pool of candidates fighting each other has come to an end and everyone is starting to think much more seriously about who will be the best (least worst?) choice for President.

    • Sarah Matta says:

      When you said this seems too strange to be real…that was perfect. I do not understand how this happened. I wonder what some of our all time greatest Presidents would think.

  2. James Halios says:

    I hate to say it but I am disillusioned by both choices. I was recently telling my wife that in good conscious I can’t vote for either of these candidates. I guess that shows you how messed up our political process is.. I will have to admit at first I was intrigued by Trump’s “outsider” status. However, as he continued to open his mouth and make outlandish statements I am further convinced he does not posses the nuances and demeanor to be a president. At this point barring a October surprise, or an arrest it looks like we will have a second Clinton in the White House. It’s only June and I am already sick of both of these candidates..Let me know when it is over..

  3. A. Hughes says:

    Hmm. Couple of thoughts: (1) In my early 20’s I could care less about presidential elections, I felt like my vote didn’t count; and (2) now in my early 30’s I vote but at times I feel like it counts for something, sometimes.

    But here’s the catch, does my vote on a presidential election really change or effect issues I really care about in the U.S.? Currently for me, the answer is no.

    My vote will not help fix the shrinking middle class, my vote will not make public education and affordable higher-education accessible to all, and my vote will not help me get a lobbyist for issues that matter to me.

    It’s grim, I know. To me the presidential elections is all smoke and mirrors. Since the beginning of this year I have become leery of democracy. Does it exist anymore? Has the U.S. democracy become “too big to fail” (Slogan no longer applies to just corporations, ekk! O_O ).

    It’s possible I’m talking crazy talk, but who is really in charge? The negative view of government is overwhelming (…and I know I’m adding to it all right now…). But it’s just how I feel.

    On a different note (sort of), I feel like lobbyist play a big role in policy direction. So recently I’ve become interested in a potential lobbying group that lobbies for issues I find important. Although possibly and overly optimist, I’m following the Association of Young Americans. In a very summarized start-up description of the association: this guy went to a senator with concerns, the senator replied, nothing will change unless you have millions of members. So the guy left, thought about what happened, and then started the association. Anywho, I paid $20 for a year membership after some minimal research. It seems legit.

    Overall, just finding hope where I can and trying to make lemonade out of lemons everyday. 🙂

  4. Jessica Weaver says:

    She is safe, isn’t she? She’s experienced, isn’t she? She’s status quo, isn’t she?

    I’ve never liked her, and I’ve reluctantly started learning more about her. I read recently that part of her problem is that she does not connect well with the people–as in, large groups of people who may be like or unlike her in a variety of ways, Supposedly, she is warm and funny in person. But I won’t ever get the chance to meet her, to truly decide for myself.

    And maybe that is the problem. No, not that I won’t ever meet the Democratic Presidential Nominee and get to know whether I can trust her, but that I even think I need to do that. Hundreds of millions of people in a country with 50 governors and 1 president, and hundreds of representatives, thousands of career administrators and educated experts, and I still want to know if *I* can trust the presidential nominee…if I would *like* her. What? As a friend? As a boss? What do I think I need, here? Who do I think she is, anyway? What do I think she can do?

    I got a little shaken up by an article I read today in the Atlantic–all about how politics has been broken by us, as we’ve dismantled its support systems, some of which were hiding corruption but were also acting as a buffer and an insurance policy against self-interested renegades like Mr. Trump. I have tirelessly advocated for transparency and direct participation while also watching in dismay as political machines grind to a halt, not realizing they could be connected.

    Here is an excerpt:
    “We reformed closed-door negotiations. As recently as the early 1970s, congressional committees could easily retreat behind closed doors and members could vote on many bills anonymously, with only the final tallies reported. Federal advisory committees, too, could meet off the record. Understandably, in the wake of Watergate, those practices came to be viewed as suspect. Today, federal law, congressional rules, and public expectations have placed almost all formal deliberations and many informal ones in full public view. One result is greater transparency, which is good. But another result is that finding space for delicate negotiations and candid deliberations can be difficult. Smoke-filled rooms, whatever their disadvantages, were good for brokering complex compromises in which nothing was settled until everything was settled; once gone, they turned out to be difficult to replace. In public, interest groups and grandstanding politicians can tear apart a compromise before it is halfway settled.” (http://www.theatlantic.com/magazine/archive/2016/07/how-american-politics-went-insane/485570/)

    And so it makes me think, first:

    1. Perhaps Hillary, with her emails, is a product of this very thing–this phenomenon of everything being in the open but some compromises are delicate enough that they must be brokered privately…so she has private communications private for a reason.

    2. ARE some compromises so delicate that they can be broken apart this easily in the sunlight—not by citizens peering in and messing it up, but by other self-interested and better placed actors? Do think this is true? Do you agree with the author?

    I feel like I want an ant farm where the politics are behind the glass but both insulated a visible…not an ant hill a giant can stomp over to with a stick and destroy in an instant.

    Why do I feel like that is the choice we are making in this election?

    (and that even if I don’t like the queen, I rather she stay in her box and do her thing so we can all kind of go back to normal?)

    • Jessica- some wonderful questions, insight and love the ant hill analogy!
      1-Well, I’ve been involved in some negotiations when I worked for a US member of Congress and when I was a director with a national Non-profit in DC and it was certainly easier to reach workable compromises but sunshine is important too, right? Maybe it has to do with timing, I have also seen first-hand strategic leaks and grandstanding by politicians and special IG advocates-both advancing a narrow agenda at the cost of the greater good.

  5. keith welch says:

    Dr. Rabidoux makes a point, in that, after winning the GOP nomination Trumps criticizers have certainly increased as has media coverage of his unfavorable remarks. I think one of his biggest problems is that he doesn’t fully think through his wording before he opens his mouth. After he has said something negative he seems incapable of not defending it to the death. In my opinion many members of the GOP won’t rally behind Trump simply because they never saw him as a serious candidate and now he almost has the party nomination. I mean really back when this all started who really though Trump would be in the election versus Hilary Clinton. Not me. While I think that there were better candidate that I would like to see as president, I cannot truly say that Clinton is one of them. From previous White House escapades involving her husband to the e-mail scandal and Benghazi the Clintons have proven over and over that they are the epitome of corrupt politicians. While Trump may have ideas that are not popular (closing the borders to Muslims) he is at least trying to be decisive in his management and truly letting people know his ideas and what he thinks. Hilary will tell you what you want to hear and then do whatever benefits her personally the most. As to all the statistics with polls and numbers, only time will tell. As was pointed out there have been historical upsets and there will continue to be upsets. All I can say is “Vote.”

  6. Kathy J says:

    I too am astonished that after all of the grandstanding and the history of the current front runners that we are now facing a ballot that could read Trump vs. Clinton. The idea of having to choose which is the least of two evils says something about our current democratic system. I must admit that living outside the country has its benefits at this time in what will surely become known as a less than stellar time in history. There are no television advertisements, no nightly news stories, or discussions in other various forums to remind me of the chaos that is occurring stateside. I do feel empathetic to those who are enduring the 2016 presidential campaign.

    The United States has long been considered a “superpower” in the world. However, over the last decade there have been questions of whether or not that power is declining. What message does the current election send to other countries? We have one candidate that makes derogatory and thoughtless remarks, and the other has a history of being unethical.

    In the end I will cast my ballot with great concern for the future of our country over the next four years. My hope is that the 2020 election will take a different course, and that the winner will be able to bring our county back to one of integrity. We can hope that it won’t be too late.

  7. Chardonnay Watson says:

    I am by far “exhausted” from the preamble to the elections this year. I am not sure how I feel about either candidate and the information that continues to be released does not give me any reassurance. Is Hillary qualified? Is she better than Trump? These are all questions that are rolling around in my head and unfortunately I do not have the answer to either. In the past two elections I have been 100% sure behind my vote, but this time lets just say I am one of those people that do not know what is the right decision.

  8. Dustin H. says:

    Call in the cavalry! The latest poll (a Rasmussen Reports poll of LIKELY voters) has Trump up by 4 points (just outside the MoE of 3). In the average of recent polls, Clinton still leads by around 4.5%. However, there is that pesky little thing called the Electoral College. UVA’s Larry Sabato currently predicts a landslide victory for Clinton 347-191. I’m no fan of Clinton either, and hoping the results of her recent FBI interview turn into something, but only time will tell.

  9. Victoria Johnson says:

    Just when i made the notion that I would leave the country if Trump became president. The student load federation sent me a letter stating that if I no longer reside in the U. S. they can seek to collect their debt by any means and I would no longer be protected by the collection policies of U.S. citizens.

    How ironic that I got this letter now. I guess they know that many people are considering leaving if Trump wins. Sad truth.

    • Beth Y says:

      LOL I think you’ll be okay here in the USA (of course still the loan debt) and UVA’s Sabato is predicting a landslide Hillary victory so may as well say here anyways, right?

  10. Marsha M says:

    Trump is still in the election, who would have guessed this. I really do not think he is the best candidate, but apparently others do. Good luck.

  11. Briana Holloway says:

    This election by far is one of the scariest because it almost if we do not know what we are getting from either candidate, therefore all we can do is hope for the best. What scares me the most is that they both made it this far. I’m not to eager bout voting in the upcoming election.

    • Sarah Matta says:

      I completely agree. When one of the candidates is not “sophisticated enough” to know what confidential information is, that scares me. A “C” next to information would definitely have let me know it was confidential and if not it would have at least made me wonder what it meant and ask. Fingers crossed, prayers up.

  12. Looks like Trump is improving his image ever so slightly with his family members (apart from his wife’s potential plagiarism) speaking so well at the RNC. I think he could surprise some people in running this election very closely, even potentially victoriously. Let’s keep in mind that Hillary is being exposed for some things that the average American would do jail time for (I can’t believe there is so little adherence to the law by those who should be held most accountable to it) and it’s getting worse every day. I think Hillary has an edge now, sure, but it’s only July. There’s a lot of campaigning left to do and a lot of Hillary scandals that could probably be uncovered, from the looks of how things have been. I’m very excited for some debates. It’ll make for two-thumbs-up entertainment, that’s for sure.

  13. Sarah Matta says:

    I have stayed out of this election as much as possible. It is hard to believe a lot of what we read or see because media can spin anything. It does worry me though that not “sophisticated enough” to understand confidential information is a quality of one of the candidates. The most powerful person in the world and they are not sophisticated enough to understand and recognize confidential information?

  14. Kershawnda J. says:

    Like most people, I cannot believe this is happening but should it come as any surprise? I still believe that there is a high possibility that Trump could win. No one thought he would make it this far, so I am not ready to count him out. I fear that most people will not vote and make it possible for impossible to happen. What are we going to do? Is there even we? This election has divided the people more than ever before. People believe that a business man will do what is best for the people and not the bottom line. All I can say is God help us, please.

  15. jpmcvaney says:

    Mickey Mouse for President…Hmmm..

    Well I have to say what I have been saying from the beginning of the process last June (2015), this election is going to turn out making a mockery out of what the United States has stood for in the past. The Congress is showing that it thinks it “has more power” than any of the branches even if we have a checks and balance system with the appointment of a Supreme Court Justice. Which then leads to the question: How close are we to being changed to a British-styled Parliament? No one can really say that they cannot see the potential changes with the mind frame of some of the Majority Leaders in the Senate. Add in the state of mind of the people of the United States with the violence and there were very few true potential candidates for office and not a single one of them from either party made it anywhere unfortunately. It will be a long four years where the smart millennials will need to figure out how to step forward and fix the mistakes and mishaps that the larger majority are seemingly falling into by those that seem to think certain ideals are the only thing we need to be thinking about. I have not heard one candidate really talk about energy, about food consumption, about growing medical technology. The discussions are focused solely on terrorism, immigration, and wage discrimination as well as racial divides… All important topics but not the only topics that need to matter for our way of life to continue to move forward.

    • David Pittsenberger says:

      Well, there is a third option other than Mickey Mouse currently polling in the double digits. Vote your conscience.

      Also, from the OP, “quite possibly illegal”. No, the emails were definitely illegal. Director Comey said as much. She broke the law. She’s just not going to be prosecuted because she didn’t intend to. I plan on pulling the Hillary defense next time I get pulled over for not coming to a full stop at a stop sign or speeding slightly over the limit. Maybe I’ll be able to have the officer get Comey, Lynch, or Clinton on the phone. Naw, I’ll just have my wife meet the police chief in the parking lot of the local Walmart after she finishes golfing in the 110 degree heat.

      Yeah, the third party candidate probably doesn’t have a snowball’s chance on the tarmac of Phoenix Sky Harbor International Airport, but the idea of either Trump or Clinton is truly abhorrent to me for many of the reasons you have already blogged about.

  16. Laura Deen says:

    Like him or not I think we can all agree Trump is not afraid to speak his mind. There is no doubt Trump is a very smart business man. Am I scared, sure. This is probably the most important election ever. The question to us all is, do we want it to stay the same as it is now or make a change? There is no doubt in my mind though that if Trump were to get elected he would surround himself with a very intelligent cabinet to help him make all the decisions needed. Let’s face it, that’s the most important thing a President can do.

  17. Kenny.H says:

    This election is becoming one of the most interesting elections in modern history. The candidates both bring about something that we can’t just let go. Hilary Clinton has always been in the middle of a political controversy. She always has had her issues, and seems to be shady, even if that titled is not deserved. For someone who has attained almost every political position there is she still just does not do it for some people.

    Donald Trump is one of the most intriguing men alive. He always seems to speak his mind, and is usually baptized. He went from saying “You’re fired”, to possibly running the free world. He seems to have the ability to get people to believe in him no matter what he says or does. This fall will bring about an interesting election.

  18. Mary says:

    Hilary has more baggage than Delta. She broke the law – most recently with her email debacle – but she is part of the Clinton Machine so she is apparently above it. The next time I get a parking ticket at VSU because I couldn’t see the almost non-existent “service vehicle” stencil, I’m going to invoke the Hilary defense…”but it wasn’t my intent.”

  19. David Brannan says:

    This is certainly the strangest election I ever remember. When I first signed up for Twitter, I followed Donald Trump early on. This was many years ago, long before he had announced his intentions to run for president. I thought his loud mouth opinions on various topics would be entertaining to read. And they were entertaining. When it became apparent that he was really going to try to run for president, I assumed that it would also be entertaining to watch him debate on stage with the other candidates during the GOP debates for a little while. And that was also entertaining. Then, something weird happened and for some reason his polling numbers instead of dropping off the table continued to rise. As it became a real possibility that he could win the nomination, I thought at least the tweets would be more tame and he would start acting more “presidential.” That too did not happen, yet here we are with him as the Republican candidate.

    I have given up on trying to guess what is going to happen. This election year has already broken all the rules. For better or for worse, I have a feeling things are going to be entertaining heading into November. However, the scary part is no matter what happens, we are going to be stuck with the choice the country has made for at least 4 years after the entertainment factor wears off.

  20. Hampton Raulerson says:

    Much has happened to influence the presidential race since this article was originally written. Bernie Sanders has conceded and fully back Clinton now, the GOP has finally rallied behind Trump except for a few outliers, and of course that incredibly confusing statement given by the director of the FBI regarding how Hillary Clinton did technically break the law but its ok, we shouldn’t prosecute. Though Hillary still holds a lead it is closing. I think it is really going to come down to who the undecideds hate the least and if the Bernie supports can stomach voting for Clinton.

  21. E Griffin says:

    This Presidental election will be one for the ages right? I mean its like a circus meets reality tv. Its to the point where ones has to seriously ask themselves are they dreaming. As if the Republican National Convention wasn’t interesting enough, I can only imagine what the Democratic National Convention will be like.

  22. valdostaphil says:

    Phil-Edwards-Fall-2016 Ethics and/or AdminLaw

    This election is a referendum on Clinton. Nothing else. The Donald is just a stand-in for anti-establishment anger. He could just as easily be the chair Clint Eastwood was talking to and the result would wind up the same. Turnout of the hardliners (or lack thereof) will determine this election. The Donald will have had nothing to do with it. Except that the chair might have won where the Donald says so much ignorant stuff that some people will vote for Johnson instead of him or Hilary so they’re able to sleep at night for the rest of their lives.

  23. Gabe Frisbie says:

    Controversy definitely sparks attention both good and bad and in this election the exposure proved to win the election for the Donald. I was shocked as well after the racist remarks and video tapes but in the end he prevailed. I guess his election can be attributed to any media attention is good media attention.

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